A chronological listing of more than two decades of published research covering topics in solar prediction, energy valuation and program optimization.

2019

• Investigations of Site-Specific, Long Term Average Albedo Determination for Accurate Bifacial System Energy Modeling (June 2019)
• Improved PV System Modeling with ML-Based Power Model: Case Study of a Commercial Building (May 2019 – poster)

2018

• Extending Fleet Forecasting Capability into the Probabilistic Realm (June 2018 – presentation)
• Solar+ Homes: If an Integrated Approach Works in a Retrofit Application, New Homes Will Be Even Better (June 2018 – presentation)
• EPIC Solar Forecasting Task 3 Final Report: Grid-Connected and Embedded PV Fleet Forecasting Accuracy (March 2018)
• EPIC Solar Forecasting Task 2 Final Report: Data Forecasting Accuracy (March 2018)
• Value of Solar+Storage in Guam (March 2018)
• Advancing the Science of Behind-the-Meter PV Forecasting (February 2018 – presentation)
• Montana Solar Market Assessment (January 2018)

2016

• Importance of Input Data and Uncertainty Associated with Tuning Satellite to Ground Solar Irradiation (June 2016)
• Spatial and Temporal Variability of Solar Energy (July 2016)
• Solar Energy Forecast Validation for Extended Areas & Economic Impact of Forecast Accuracy (June 2016)
• Day Ahead Irradiance Forecast Variability Characterization Using Satellite Data(June 2016)
• On the Ability of Ground Based Global Horizontal Irradiance Measurements to Reduce Error in Satellite Derived Plane of Array Irradiance data for Fixed Tilt Photovoltaic Power Plants (June 2016)
• Integration of Behind-the-Meter PV Fleet Forecasts into Utility Grid System Operations (Feb. 2016)

2015

• Valuation of Solar + Storage in Hawaii: Methodology (June 2015)
• Satellite-to-Irradiance Modeling – A New Version of the SUNY Model (May 2015)
• Maine Distributed Solar Valuation Study (April 2015)

2014

• Reducing Solar Project Uncertainty with an Optimized Resource Assessment Tuning Methodology (June 2014)
• CSI RD&D Solicitation 3: Integrating PV into Utility Planning and Operation Tools (April 2014)
• Minnesota Value of Solar: Methodology (March 2014)

2013

• Managing the Distributed Solar Fleet: From Interconnection to Fleet Operations (Oct. 2013 – presentation)
• Demonstration and Validation of PV Output Variability Modeling Approach (July 2013)
• Operational Improvements in the Performance of the SUNY Satellite-to-Solar Irradiance Model Using Satellite Infrared Channels (June 2013)
• Behind-the-Meter PV Fleet Forecasting: Results for 130,000 PV Systems in California (April 2013 – presentation)
• The Value of Distributed Solar Electric Generation to San Antonio (March 2013)
• Forecasting Output for 130,000 PV Systems in California (Feb. 2013) – presentation
• Net Metering: Quantifying Benefits and Sharing Costs (Feb. 2013) – presentation
• Integrating PV into Utility Planning and Operation Tools (Feb. 2013) – presentation

2012

• The Value of Distributed Solar Electric Generation to New Jersey and Pennsylvania (Nov. 2012)
• Behind-the-Meter PV Fleet Forecasting (Oct. 2012 – presentation)
• Solar Monitoring, Forecasting and Variability Assessment at SMUD (April 2012)
• CSI RD&D Solicitation 1 Final Report: Advanced Modeling and Verification for High Penetration PV (April 2012)
• CSI RD&D Solicitation 1 Final Webinar: Advanced Modeling and Verification for High Penetration PV (April 2012)
• Reporting of Irradiance Model Relative Errors (March 2012)
• Predicting Short-term Variability of High Penetration PV (March 2012)
• Off-shore Wind and Grid-connected PV: High Penetration Peak Shaving for New York City (March 2012)
• Evaluating Irradiance Accuracy Using California ISO Data: Lessons Learned (Feb. 2012)

2011

• Determining Storage Reserves for Regulating Solar Variability (Nov. 2011)
• Modeling PV Fleet Output Variability (May 2011)
• PV Power Output Variability: Calculation of Correlation Coefficients Using Satellite Insolation Data (March 2011)
• Short-term Irradiance Variability: Station Pair Correlation as a Function of Distance (March 2011)
• Designing Austin Energy’s Solar Tariff Using a Distributed PV Value Calculator (March 2011)

2010

• Parameterization of Site-specific Short-term Irradiance Variability (Nov. 2010)
• PV Power Output Variability: Correlation Coefficients (Nov. 2010)
• Valuing a Portfolio of PV Investments (Oct. 2010)
• Validation of Short and Medium Term Operational Solar Radiation Forecasts in the U.S. (Aug. 2010)
• Validation of PV Performance Models Using Satellite-based Irradiance Measurements: A Case Study (May 2010)
• Weather Adjusted Performance Guarantees (May 2010)
• Market Transformation Benefits of a PV Incentive Program (May 2010)
• Quantifying the Cost of High Photovoltaic Penetration (May 2010)
• The CA Net Energy Metering Report: Approach, Results & Implications (April 2010)

2009

• Evaluating PV Fleet Output Variability (Dec. 2009)
• Quantifying PV Power Output Variability (May 2009)

2008

• Solar Sustained Vehicles: A Consumer’s Solution to Protection in an Age of Oil Dependence, Economic Uncertainty, & Global Warming (Nov. 2008)
• Shining on the Big Apple: Satisfying New York City’s Peak Electrical Needs with PV (Nov. 2008)

2006

• How to Incorporate Perspective When Performing a Solar Value Analysis (Oct. 2006)
• Incentive Level Analysis: Workshop on the Design of the New Solar Homes Partnership (June 2006)
• Expected Performance Based Buydown (EPBB) Incentive Structure: Rationale & Implications (May 2006)
• Incentive Structure Alternatives (April 2006)
• Overview of PBI Design Issues: Performance Based Solar Incentives Workshop (March 2006)
• The Value of Distributed Photovoltaics to Austin Energy & the City of Austin (March 2006)

2005

• Moving Towards a More Comprehensive Framework to Evaluate Distributed Photovoltaics (June 2005)
• Maximizing the Value of Customer-Sited PV Systems Using Storage & Controls (Jan. 2005)

2004

• Increasing the Value of Customer-Owned PV Systems Using Batteries (Nov. 2004)
• Economic Benefits of Performance-Based Incentives (July 2004)
• Quick Review of Basic Economics (July 2004)
• Field Validation of the Clean Power Estimator’s Obstruction Analysis Algorithm (Feb. 2004)
• Are Photovoltaic Systems Worth More to Residential Consumers on Net Metered Time-of-Use Rates? (Jan. 2004) – paper + presentation

2003

• Potential Economic Benefits of Distributed Photovoltaics to the Nevada Power Company (Nov. 2003)
• Distributed Photovoltaics in New Jersey (Oct. 2003)
• A Simple Method for Consumers to Address Uncertainty When Purchasing Photovoltaics (Sep. 2003)
• Determination of Photovoltaic Effective Capacity for Nevada Power (Sep. 2003)
• Maximizing PV peak shaving with solar load control: validation of a web-based economic evaluation tool (Aug. 2003)
• Validation of a Simplified PV Simulation Engine (June 2003)
• Estimator Documentation (May 2003)

2002

• Tax Revenue Protection Through Outage Risk Mitigation: The Value of Distributed PV to The Federal Government (Oct. 2002)
• Electricity Rate Structures Can Be Used to Promote Customer-Sited PV: A Lesson From California (June 2002)
• A Tool To Market Customer-Sited Small Wind Systems (June 2002)

2001

• Using Product Portfolios to Increase the Value of Customer-Sited PV (Oct. 2001) – paper + presentation
• Using the Internet to Promote PV & Other Clean Technologies (June 2001)

2000

• Reduce, Reuse, Renew: One Possible Approach to Cut Carbon Emissions (July 2000)
• The Potential Market for Photovoltaics & Other Distributed Resources in Rural Electric Cooperatives (July 2000)
• Building Integrated Photovoltaics At the New York City Transit’s Corona Maintenance Shop & Car Wash Facility (July 2000)
• The Market for Photovoltaics in New Homes Using Micro-Grids (June 2000)
• The Market for Photovoltaics in New Homes Using Micro-Grids (Report) (Jan. 2000)

1999

• Clean Distributed Resources in the U.S. Residential Market (Nov. 1999)

1998

• Distributed Resources: A Potentially Economically Attractive Option to Satisfy Increased Demand on Okanogan County Electric Cooperative’s Mazama Feeder Line (Oct. 1998)
• Distributed Resources in Okanogan County Electric Co-op: Preliminary Feasibility Study Results (Oct. 1998)
• A Preliminary Analysis of Block Island Power Company’s Use of Clean Distributed Resources to Provide Power to Its Customers (Aug. 1998)
• Keep the Door Open for Micro-Grids (July 1998)
• A Micro-Grid with PV, Fuel Cells, & Energy Efficiency (June 1998) – paper + presentation
• Modular Green Generation: An Untapped Green Market (June 1998)
• Green Futures: Managing Financial Risks & Protecting the Environment (June 1998)
• Using Distributed Resources to Manage Risks Caused by Demand Uncertainty (Jan. 1998)

1997

• Distributed Generation & Micro-Grids (Sep. 1997) – paper + presentation
• Credit Ratings & Photovoltaic Investments (Sep. 1997)
• Investments Under Uncertainty: State Prices in Incomplete Markets (Aug. 1997)
• Integrating Renewable Energy Technologies in the Electric Supply Industry: A Risk Management Approach (June 1997)
• Managing Risk Using Renewable Energy Technologies (Jan. 1997)

1996

• Identifying Distributed Generation & Demand Side Management Investment Opportunities (Sep. 1996)
• Distributed Generation: An Alternative to Electric Utility Investments in System Capacity (Sep. 1996)
• Photovoltaic Economics & Markets: The Sacramento Municipal Utility District as a Case Study (Sep. 1996)
• Strategic Planning in Electric Utilities: Using Wind Technologies as Risk Management Tools (June 1996)
• Strategic Planning in Electric Utilities: Using Renewable Energy Technologies as Risk Management Tools (April 1996)

1995

• The Value of Grid-Support Photovoltaics in Reducing Distribution System Losses (Sep. 1995)
• Performance & Value Analysis of the Kerman 500 kW Photovoltaic Power Plant (April 1995)

1994

• The Value of Grid-Support Photovoltaics to Substation Transformers (Aug. 1994)
• The Value of Grid-Support Photovoltaics in Providing Distribution System Voltage Support (June 1994)

1993

• PV DSM: Policy Actions to Speed Commercialization (May 1993)

1992

• Evaluating the Revenue Impacts of Customer-Sited Renewable Generation Using Load Research Data (Oct. 1992)

1991

• Economic Determination of Optimal Plant Design for Photovoltaics in the Utility Distribution System

1988

• Calculating Photovoltaics’ Value: A Utility Perspective

1987

• Two Years of Performance Data for the World’s Largest Photovoltaic Power Plant