A chronological listing of more than two decades of published research covering topics in solar prediction, energy valuation and program optimization.
2021
- Making the Cut with a Carbon Elimination Price: The Missing Piece to Bill Gates’ How to Avoid a Climate Disaster Book (March 2021)
2020
- Observed Recent Trends in the Solar Resource across North America: Changing Cloud-cover, AOD and the Implications for PV Yield (June 2020 – paper and on-demand presentation)
2019
- Investigations of Site-Specific, Long Term Average Albedo Determination for Accurate Bifacial System Energy Modeling (June 2019)
- Improved PV System Modeling with ML-Based Power Model: Case Study of a Commercial Building (May 2019 – poster)
2018
- Extending Fleet Forecasting Capability into the Probabilistic Realm (June 2018 – presentation)
- Solar+ Homes: If an Integrated Approach Works in a Retrofit Application, New Homes Will Be Even Better (June 2018 – presentation)
- Improved model of solar resource variability based on regional aggregation and climate zones (June 2018)
- EPIC Solar Forecasting Task 3 Final Report: Grid-Connected and Embedded PV Fleet Forecasting Accuracy (March 2018)
- EPIC Solar Forecasting Task 2 Final Report: Data Forecasting Accuracy (March 2018)
- Value of Solar+Storage in Guam (March 2018)
- Advancing the Science of Behind-the-Meter PV Forecasting (February 2018 – presentation)
- Montana Solar Market Assessment (January 2018)
2017
2016
- Importance of Input Data and Uncertainty Associated with Tuning Satellite to Ground Solar Irradiation (June 2016)
- Spatial and Temporal Variability of Solar Energy (July 2016)
- Solar Energy Forecast Validation for Extended Areas & Economic Impact of Forecast Accuracy (June 2016)
- Day Ahead Irradiance Forecast Variability Characterization Using Satellite Data(June 2016)
- On the Ability of Ground Based Global Horizontal Irradiance Measurements to Reduce Error in Satellite Derived Plane of Array Irradiance data for Fixed Tilt Photovoltaic Power Plants (June 2016)
- Integration of Behind-the-Meter PV Fleet Forecasts into Utility Grid System Operations (Feb. 2016)
2015
- Combining Satellite and Ground Data: What Works & What Doesn’t (Feb. 2015 – presentation)
- Valuation of Solar + Storage in Hawaii: Methodology (June 2015)
- Satellite-to-Irradiance Modeling – A New Version of the SUNY Model (May 2015)
- Maine Distributed Solar Valuation Study (April 2015)
2014
- Reducing Solar Project Uncertainty with an Optimized Resource Assessment Tuning Methodology (June 2014)
- CSI RD&D Solicitation 3: Integrating PV into Utility Planning and Operation Tools (April 2014)
- Minnesota Value of Solar: Methodology (March 2014)
- Experience in California with Behind-the-Meter PV Forecasts (Feb. 2014 – presentation)
2013
- Managing the Distributed Solar Fleet: From Interconnection to Fleet Operations (Oct. 2013 – presentation)
- Demonstration and Validation of PV Output Variability Modeling Approach (July 2013)
- Operational Improvements in the Performance of the SUNY Satellite-to-Solar Irradiance Model Using Satellite Infrared Channels (June 2013)
- Behind-the-Meter PV Fleet Forecasting: Results for 130,000 PV Systems in California (April 2013 – presentation)
- The Value of Distributed Solar Electric Generation to San Antonio (March 2013)
- Forecasting Output for 130,000 PV Systems in California (Feb. 2013) – presentation
- Net Metering: Quantifying Benefits and Sharing Costs (Feb. 2013) – presentation
- Integrating PV into Utility Planning and Operation Tools (Feb. 2013) – presentation
2012
- The Value of Distributed Solar Electric Generation to New Jersey and Pennsylvania (Nov. 2012)
- Behind-the-Meter PV Fleet Forecasting (Oct. 2012 – presentation)
- Solar Monitoring, Forecasting and Variability Assessment at SMUD (April 2012)
- CSI RD&D Solicitation 1 Final Report: Advanced Modeling and Verification for High Penetration PV (April 2012)
- CSI RD&D Solicitation 1 Final Webinar: Advanced Modeling and Verification for High Penetration PV (April 2012)
- Reporting of Irradiance Model Relative Errors (March 2012)
- Predicting Short-term Variability of High Penetration PV (March 2012)
- Off-shore Wind and Grid-connected PV: High Penetration Peak Shaving for New York City (March 2012)
- Evaluating Irradiance Accuracy Using California ISO Data: Lessons Learned (Feb. 2012)
2011
- Determining Storage Reserves for Regulating Solar Variability (Nov. 2011)
- Modeling PV Fleet Output Variability (May 2011)
- PV Power Output Variability: Calculation of Correlation Coefficients Using Satellite Insolation Data (March 2011)
- Short-term Irradiance Variability: Station Pair Correlation as a Function of Distance (March 2011)
- Designing Austin Energy’s Solar Tariff Using a Distributed PV Value Calculator (March 2011)
2010
- Parameterization of Site-specific Short-term Irradiance Variability (Nov. 2010)
- PV Power Output Variability: Correlation Coefficients (Nov. 2010)
- Valuing a Portfolio of PV Investments (Oct. 2010)
- Validation of Short and Medium Term Operational Solar Radiation Forecasts in the U.S. (Aug. 2010)
- Validation of PV Performance Models Using Satellite-based Irradiance Measurements: A Case Study (May 2010)
- Weather Adjusted Performance Guarantees (May 2010)
- Market Transformation Benefits of a PV Incentive Program (May 2010)
- Quantifying the Cost of High Photovoltaic Penetration (May 2010)
- The CA Net Energy Metering Report: Approach, Results & Implications (April 2010)
2009
- Evaluating PV Fleet Output Variability (Dec. 2009)
- Quantifying PV Power Output Variability (May 2009)
2008
- Solar Sustained Vehicles: A Consumer’s Solution to Protection in an Age of Oil Dependence, Economic Uncertainty, & Global Warming (Nov. 2008)
- Shining on the Big Apple: Satisfying New York City’s Peak Electrical Needs with PV (Nov. 2008)
2006
- How to Incorporate Perspective When Performing a Solar Value Analysis (Oct. 2006)
- Incentive Level Analysis: Workshop on the Design of the New Solar Homes Partnership (June 2006)
- Expected Performance Based Buydown (EPBB) Incentive Structure: Rationale & Implications (May 2006)
- Incentive Structure Alternatives (April 2006)
- Overview of PBI Design Issues: Performance Based Solar Incentives Workshop (March 2006)
- The Value of Distributed Photovoltaics to Austin Energy & the City of Austin (March 2006)
2005
- Moving Towards a More Comprehensive Framework to Evaluate Distributed Photovoltaics (June 2005)
- Maximizing the Value of Customer-Sited PV Systems Using Storage & Controls (Jan. 2005)
2004
- Increasing the Value of Customer-Owned PV Systems Using Batteries (Nov. 2004)
- Economic Benefits of Performance-Based Incentives (July 2004)
- Quick Review of Basic Economics (July 2004)
- Field Validation of the Clean Power Estimator’s Obstruction Analysis Algorithm (Feb. 2004)
- Are Photovoltaic Systems Worth More to Residential Consumers on Net Metered Time-of-Use Rates? (Jan. 2004) – paper + presentation
2003
- Potential Economic Benefits of Distributed Photovoltaics to the Nevada Power Company (Nov. 2003)
- Distributed Photovoltaics in New Jersey (Oct. 2003)
- A Simple Method for Consumers to Address Uncertainty When Purchasing Photovoltaics (Sep. 2003)
- Determination of Photovoltaic Effective Capacity for Nevada Power (Sep. 2003)
- Maximizing PV peak shaving with solar load control: validation of a web-based economic evaluation tool (Aug. 2003)
- Validation of a Simplified PV Simulation Engine (June 2003)
- Estimator Documentation (May 2003)
2002
- Tax Revenue Protection Through Outage Risk Mitigation: The Value of Distributed PV to The Federal Government (Oct. 2002)
- Electricity Rate Structures Can Be Used to Promote Customer-Sited PV: A Lesson From California (June 2002)
- A Tool To Market Customer-Sited Small Wind Systems (June 2002)
2001
- Using Product Portfolios to Increase the Value of Customer-Sited PV (Oct. 2001) – paper + presentation
- Using the Internet to Promote PV & Other Clean Technologies (June 2001)
2000
- Reduce, Reuse, Renew: One Possible Approach to Cut Carbon Emissions (July 2000)
- The Potential Market for Photovoltaics & Other Distributed Resources in Rural Electric Cooperatives (July 2000)
- Building Integrated Photovoltaics At the New York City Transit’s Corona Maintenance Shop & Car Wash Facility (July 2000)
- The Market for Photovoltaics in New Homes Using Micro-Grids (June 2000)
- The Market for Photovoltaics in New Homes Using Micro-Grids (Report) (Jan. 2000)
1999
1998
- Distributed Resources: A Potentially Economically Attractive Option to Satisfy Increased Demand on Okanogan County Electric Cooperative’s Mazama Feeder Line (Oct. 1998)
- Distributed Resources in Okanogan County Electric Co-op: Preliminary Feasibility Study Results (Oct. 1998)
- A Preliminary Analysis of Block Island Power Company’s Use of Clean Distributed Resources to Provide Power to Its Customers (Aug. 1998)
- Keep the Door Open for Micro-Grids (July 1998)
- A Micro-Grid with PV, Fuel Cells, & Energy Efficiency (June 1998) – paper + presentation
- Modular Green Generation: An Untapped Green Market (June 1998)
- Green Futures: Managing Financial Risks & Protecting the Environment (June 1998)
- Using Distributed Resources to Manage Risks Caused by Demand Uncertainty (Jan. 1998)
1997
- Distributed Generation & Micro-Grids (Sep. 1997) – paper + presentation
- Credit Ratings & Photovoltaic Investments (Sep. 1997)
- Investments Under Uncertainty: State Prices in Incomplete Markets (Aug. 1997)
- Integrating Renewable Energy Technologies in the Electric Supply Industry: A Risk Management Approach (June 1997)
- Managing Risk Using Renewable Energy Technologies (Jan. 1997)
1996
- Identifying Distributed Generation & Demand Side Management Investment Opportunities (Sep. 1996)
- Distributed Generation: An Alternative to Electric Utility Investments in System Capacity (Sep. 1996)
- Photovoltaic Economics & Markets: The Sacramento Municipal Utility District as a Case Study (Sep. 1996)
- Strategic Planning in Electric Utilities: Using Wind Technologies as Risk Management Tools (June 1996)
- Strategic Planning in Electric Utilities: Using Renewable Energy Technologies as Risk Management Tools (April 1996)
1995
- The Value of Grid-Support Photovoltaics in Reducing Distribution System Losses (Sep. 1995)
- Performance & Value Analysis of the Kerman 500 kW Photovoltaic Power Plant (April 1995)
1994
- The Value of Grid-Support Photovoltaics to Substation Transformers (Aug. 1994)
- The Value of Grid-Support Photovoltaics in Providing Distribution System Voltage Support (June 1994)
1993
1992
- Evaluating the Revenue Impacts of Customer-Sited Renewable Generation Using Load Research Data (Oct. 1992)
1991
- Economic Determination of Optimal Plant Design for Photovoltaics in the Utility Distribution System
1988
- Calculating Photovoltaics’ Value: A Utility Perspective
1987
- Two Years of Performance Data for the World’s Largest Photovoltaic Power Plant