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Research Timeline

A chronological listing of more than two decades of published research covering topics in solar prediction, economic evaluation and incentive program optimization.

2013

The Value of Distributed Solar Electric Generation to San Antonio (March 2013)
Forecasting Output for 130,000 PV Systems in California (Feb. 2013) – presentation
Net Metering: Quantifying Benefits and Sharing Costs (Feb. 2013) – presentation
Integrating PV into Utility Planning and Operation Tools (Feb. 2013) – presentation

2012

The Value of Distributed Solar Electric Generation to New Jersey and Pennsylvania (Nov. 2012)
Solar Monitoring, Forecasting and Variability Assessment at SMUD (April 2012)
Reporting of Irradiance Model Relative Errors (March 2012)
Predicting Short-term Variability of High Penetration PV (March 2012)
Off-shore Wind and Grid-connected PV: High Penetration Peak Shaving for New York City (March 2012)
Evaluating Irradiance Accuracy Using California ISO Data: Lessons Learned (Feb. 2012)

2011

Determining Storage Reserves for Regulating Solar Variability (Nov. 2011)
Modeling PV Fleet Output Variability (May 2011)
PV Power Output Variability: Calculation of Correlation Coefficients Using Satellite Insolation Data (March 2011)
Short-term Irradiance Variability: Station Pair Correlation as a Function of Distance (March 2011)
Designing Austin Energy’s Solar Tariff Using a Distributed PV Value Calculator (March 2011)

2010

Parameterization of Site-specific Short-term Irradiance Variability (Nov. 2010)
PV Power Output Variability: Correlation Coefficients (Nov. 2010)
Valuing a Portfolio of PV Investments (Oct. 2010)
Validation of Short and Medium Term Operational Solar Radiation Forecasts in the U.S. (Aug. 2010)
Validation of PV Performance Models Using Satellite-based Irradiance Measurements: A Case Study (May 2010)
Weather Adjusted Performance Guarantees (May 2010)
Market Transformation Benefits of a PV Incentive Program (May 2010)
Quantifying the Cost of High Photovoltaic Penetration (May 2010)
The CA Net Energy Metering Report: Approach, Results & Implications (April 2010)

2009

Evaluating PV Fleet Output Variability (Dec. 2009)
Quantifying PV Power Output Variability (May 2009)

2008

2006

How to Incorporate Perspective When Performing a Solar Value Analysis (Oct. 2006)
Incentive Level Analysis: Workshop on the Design of the New Solar Homes Partnership (June 2006)
Expected Performance Based Buydown (EPBB) Incentive Structure: Rationale & Implications (May 2006)
Incentive Structure Alternatives (April 2006)
Overview of PBI Design Issues: Performance Based Solar Incentives Workshop (March 2006)
The Value of Distributed Photovoltaics to Austin Energy & the City of Austin (March 2006)

2005

Moving Towards a More Comprehensive Framework to Evaluate Distributed Photovoltaics (June 2005)
Maximizing the Value of Customer-Sited PV Systems Using Storage & Controls (Jan. 2005)

2004

Increasing the Value of Customer-Owned PV Systems Using Batteries (Nov. 2004)
Economic Benefits of Performance-Based Incentives (July 2004)
Quick Review of Basic Economics (July 2004)
Field Validation of the Clean Power Estimator’s Obstruction Analysis Algorithm (Feb. 2004)
Are Photovoltaic Systems Worth More to Residential Consumers on Net Metered Time-of-Use Rates? (Jan. 2004) – paper + presentation

2003

Potential Economic Benefits of Distributed Photovoltaics to the Nevada Power Company (Nov. 2003)
Distributed Photovoltaics in New Jersey (Oct. 2003)
A Simple Method for Consumers to Address Uncertainty When Purchasing Photovoltaics (Sep. 2003)
Determination of Photovoltaic Effective Capacity for Nevada Power (Sep. 2003)
Maximizing PV peak shaving with solar load control: validation of a web-based economic evaluation tool (Aug. 2003)
Validation of a Simplified PV Simulation Engine (June 2003)
Estimator Documentation (May 2003)

2002

Tax Revenue Protection Through Outage Risk Mitigation: The Value of Distributed PV to The Federal Government (Oct. 2002)
Electricity Rate Structures Can Be Used to Promote Customer-Sited PV: A Lesson From California (June 2002)
A Tool To Market Customer-Sited Small Wind Systems (June 2002)

2001

Using Product Portfolios to Increase the Value of Customer-Sited PV (Oct. 2001) – paper + presentation
Using the Internet to Promote PV & Other Clean Technologies (June 2001)

2000

Reduce, Reuse, Renew: One Possible Approach to Cut Carbon Emissions (July 2000)
The Potential Market for Photovoltaics & Other Distributed Resources in Rural Electric Cooperatives (July 2000)
Building Integrated Photovoltaics At the New York City Transit’s Corona Maintenance Shop & Car Wash Facility (July 2000)
The Market for Photovoltaics in New Homes Using Micro-Grids (June 2000)
The Market for Photovoltaics in New Homes Using Micro-Grids (Report) (Jan. 2000)

1999

Clean Distributed Resources in the U.S. Residential Market (Nov. 1999)

1998

Distributed Resources: A Potentially Economically Attractive Option to Satisfy Increased Demand on Okanogan County Electric Cooperative’s Mazama Feeder Line (Oct. 1998)
Distributed Resources in Okanogan County Electric Co-op: Preliminary Feasibility Study Results (Oct. 1998)
A Preliminary Analysis of Block Island Power Company’s Use of Clean Distributed Resources to Provide Power to Its Customers (Aug. 1998)
Keep the Door Open for Micro-Grids (July 1998)
A Micro-Grid with PV, Fuel Cells, & Energy Efficiency (June 1998) – paper + presentation
Modular Green Generation: An Untapped Green Market (June 1998)
Green Futures: Managing Financial Risks & Protecting the Environment (June 1998)
Using Distributed Resources to Manage Risks Caused by Demand Uncertainty (Jan. 1998)

1997

Distributed Generation & Micro-Grids (Sep. 1997) – paper + presentation
Credit Ratings & Photovoltaic Investments (Sep. 1997)
Investments Under Uncertainty: State Prices in Incomplete Markets (Aug. 1997)
Integrating Renewable Energy Technologies in the Electric Supply Industry: A Risk Management Approach (June 1997)
Managing Risk Using Renewable Energy Technologies (Jan. 1997)

1996

Identifying Distributed Generation & Demand Side Management Investment Opportunities (Sep. 1996)
Distributed Generation: An Alternative to Electric Utility Investments in System Capacity (Sep. 1996)
Photovoltaic Economics & Markets: The Sacramento Municipal Utility District as a Case Study (Sep. 1996)
Strategic Planning in Electric Utilities: Using Wind Technologies as Risk Management Tools (June 1996)
Strategic Planning in Electric Utilities: Using Renewable Energy Technologies as Risk Management Tools (April 1996)

1995

The Value of Grid-Support Photovoltaics in Reducing Distribution System Losses (Sep. 1995)
Performance & Value Analysis of the Kerman 500 kW Photovoltaic Power Plant (April 1995)

1994

The Value of Grid-Support Photovoltaics to Substation Transformers (Aug. 1994)
The Value of Grid-Support Photovoltaics in Providing Distribution System Voltage Support (June 1994)

1993

PV DSM: Policy Actions to Speed Commercialization (May 1993)

1992

Evaluating the Revenue Impacts of Customer-Sited Renewable Generation Using Load Research Data (Oct. 1992)

1991

Economic Determination of Optimal Plant Design for Photovoltaics in the Utility Distribution System

1988

Calculating Photovoltaics’ Value: A Utility Perspective

1987

Two Years of Performance Data for the World’s Largest Photovoltaic Power Plant